Heterogeneous impacts of temperature extremes on climate attitudes and Green voting (with Jacopo Bassetto, Roman Hoffmann, Raya Muttarak, and Jonas Peisker). PNAS - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, accepted.
Research
My substantive research spans the fields of comparative politics and comparative and international political economy. I do not restrict my attention to narrowly-defined geographic areas, and I tend to think about problems in comparative perspective. I also favor case studies whenever institutional design and historical accidents provide the opportunity to study some central political science questions in a clean and potentially well-identified way. I also use lab or survey experiments to understand mechanisms at the level of individual decisions.
Publications
Decision-Making in the Dark: The Asymmetric Spread of COVID-19 Policies (with Luigi Curini and Gianmarco Daniele). Comparative Political Studies, 00104140251381749, 2025.
Voting and Climate Change: How an Extreme Weather Event Increased Support for a Radical-Right Incumbent in Italy (with Simone Cremaschi). The Journal of Politics 87 (4), 1617-1622, 2025.
In Search of the Causes of the Globalization Backlash: Methodological Considerations on Post-Treatment Bias (with Paolo Agnolin and Italo Colantone). Comparative Political Studies 58 (8), 1603-1635, 2025.
A Popular Backlash against Globalization? (with Italo Colantone and Gianmarco Ottaviano). Critical Sociology 51 (4-5), 721-742, 2025.
The Social Footprint of Globalisation: Towards the Introduction of Strategic Industries in Quantitative Trade Models (with Italo Colantone and Gianmarco Ottaviano). Spatial Economic Analysis 19 (3), 345-363, 2024.
Climate Change Experiences Raise Environmental Concerns and Promote Green Voting (with Roman Hoffmann, Raya Muttarak, and Jonas Peisker). Nature Climate Change 12 (2), 148-155, 2022.
The Backlash of Globalization (with Italo Colantone and Gianmarco Ottaviano). Handbook of International Economics 5, 405-477, 2022.
Individual Vulnerability to Industrial Robot Adoption Increases Support for the Radical Right (with Massimo Anelli and Italo Colantone). Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118 (47), e2111611118, 2021.
Fallimento lockdown: come una politica senza idee ci ha privati della libertà senza proteggerci dal virus (with Gianmarco Daniele). EGEA, 2021.
The Rise of Populism in Advanced Economies: Blame It on Globalisation? (with Italo Colantone and Gianmarco Ottaviano). LSE Business Review, 2021.
Globalization and Nationalism (with Italo Colantone). In Populism, Economic Policies and Central Banking, 62, 2020.
The Surge of Economic Nationalism in Western Europe. (with Italo Colantone). Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2019.
The Trade Origins of Economic Nationalism: Import Competition and Voting Behavior in Western Europe. (with Italo Colantone) American Journal of Political Science, 2018.
Global Competition and Brexit. (with Italo Colantone) American Political Science Review, 2018.
Considerations on the Method of Constructing Governance Indices. In Governance Indicators: Approaches, Progress, Promise, Oxford University Press 2018
Regulation of Speech and Media Coverage of Corruption: An Empirical Analysis of the Mexican Press. American Journal of Political Science, 2015.
Governance Indicators: Some Proposals. (with Mark Kayser). In Governance Challenges and Innovations: Financial and Fiscal Governance, Oxford University Press 2013
Political Polarization in Retrospective Economic Evaluations during Recessions and Recoveries. Electoral Studies, 2013
Church-State Separation and Redistribution. (with John Huber) Journal of Public Economics, 2011.
Working Papers
You Are Fired, My Lord: Democratic Narratives and Accountability in the World's Third Largest Democracy (with Naila Shofia). Working paper. Pre-registration materials.
Winner, SEAPRG Best Paper Award (Open Category), for a paper presented at the 2024 APSA Annual Meeting.
What If You See It? Generative AI Exposure and Workers' Divergent Policy Preferences (with Massimo Anelli, Italo Colantone, and Aina Gallego). GREEN Working Paper No. 32, 2026. Under review. Pre-analysis plan.
Robots and Trade Unions: Granular Data and Evidence from Western Europe (with Paolo Agnolin, Massimo Anelli, and Italo Colantone). R&R, American Political Science Review.
Green Collars at the Voting Booth: Material Interest and Environmental Voting (with Enrico Cavallotti and Francesco Vona). FEEM Working Paper 09.2025. R&R, Journal of Politics.
We Were The Robots: Automation and Voting Behavior in Western Europe (with Massimo Anelli and Italo Colantone). CReAM Discussion Paper Series No. 17/19, 2019.
Programmatic Demobilization: Evidence from a Field Experiment in a Referendum Campaign (with Vincenzo Galasso, Massimo Morelli, and Tommaso Nannicini). R&R, Journal of Public Economics.
The Economic Determinants of the "Cultural Backlash": Globalization and Attitudes in Western Europe. (with Italo Colantone). BAFFI CAREFIN working paper.
Group Membership, Structural Inequality, and Preferences For Redistribution. (with Paolo Belardinelli)
The “Crime Emergency” in Italy: Media Content and Polarization of Public Opinion. Dormant manuscript, but readable. Available upon request.
Sowing The Mafia: A Natural Experiment (with Paolo Pinotti). Dormant manuscript.
Proposals to Improve the Index of Corruption. (with Andrew Gelman). Internal memo for Transparency International. Available upon request.